The present El Niño occasion is a chance to strengthen the nation’s preparedness tradition, writes ABDULHAMID ABDULLAHI ALIYU
Nigeria’s preparedness for climate-related emergencies is going through one other necessary take a look at as a powerful El Niño occasion gathers momentum, with the potential to affect climate patterns, livelihoods and public security within the months forward. For a rustic already grappling with recurring floods, dry spells, rising temperatures and different climate-related challenges, the event is a reminder that the results of a catastrophe are sometimes decided lengthy earlier than it happens.
El Niño is a naturally occurring local weather phenomenon related to the warming of sea floor temperatures within the central and jap equatorial Pacific Ocean. This warming impacts atmospheric circulation and may alter rainfall and temperature patterns throughout totally different components of the world. The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), in its September 2026 replace, confirmed that the occasion was firmly established and anticipated to strengthen, with a near-certain probability of persisting by means of February 2027. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) had additionally confirmed the onset of a powerful El Niño occasion in its August local weather replace.
However, the implications for Nigeria require cautious consideration. El Niño doesn’t produce similar climate circumstances all over the place, and its results in any nation rely on different regional local weather programs. Its affect can contribute to uncommon temperature and rainfall patterns, growing the dangers of warmth stress, water shortages, strain on agriculture and, in some places, weather-related emergencies. These potentialities make dependable forecasts, well timed public data and sensible preparedness significantly necessary.
The problem just isn’t merely to grasp the phenomenon however to make sure that authorities establishments and communities are prepared to reply to the dangers it might create. This is the place the work of the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) turns into significantly related.
Under the management of its Director General, Mrs. Zubaida Umar, the Agency has continued to strengthen its strategy to catastrophe administration, with larger emphasis on early warning, coordination and anticipatory motion. The goal is to maneuver past responding after an emergency has occurred and construct programs that allow related authorities to determine threats, put together communities and take essential steps earlier than conditions deteriorate.
One important improvement was the directive by Vice President Kashim Shettima in June 2026 for the activation of the Fusion and Trigger Room idea inside NEMA. Following a gathering of the Anticipatory Action Task Force, the initiative was designed to strengthen the coordination of data, determine rising dangers and assist well timed selections on early motion towards flooding and different climate-related hazards. NEMA additionally disclosed that it had prioritised high-risk areas and issued flood early-warning advisories to assist preparedness.
The Agency has additionally strengthened its operational data system. On August 4, 2026, Mrs. Umar activated the National Emergency Operations Centre to enhance the monitoring, collation and evaluation of data on the flood scenario throughout the nation. The Centre is anticipated to supply a central platform for harmonising data from related sources and supporting coordinated selections throughout emergencies.
Beyond its inner constructions, efficient catastrophe preparedness will depend on cooperation amongst establishments with totally different however complementary tasks. The significance of this was mirrored within the inter-agency assembly hosted by NiMet on August 21, 2026, forward of the implementation of the Early Warnings for All initiative in Nigeria. NEMA, NiMet, the Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency, the National Space Research and Development Agency, the Nigerian Communications Commission and different companions participated in discussions across the nation’s 2026–2029 implementation roadmap for a coordinated, people-centred early-warning system.
These efforts are necessary, however their success should finally be measured by what occurs past authorities workplaces and emergency coordination centres. A forecast doesn’t defend a family just because it has been issued. It turns into helpful when the data reaches individuals in language they perceive and prompts them to take acceptable motion.
The scale of Nigeria’s publicity to flooding illustrates the significance of this duty. The Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency recognized 14,118 communities in 266 native authorities areas throughout 33 states and the Federal Capital Territory as being at excessive threat of flooding in 2026. Such figures underline the necessity for native authorities to strengthen drainage programs, implement acceptable land-use laws, stop development on waterways and be certain that evacuation preparations are in place the place essential.
Citizens even have a duty to take warnings significantly. During intervals of intense warmth, individuals ought to drink adequate clear water, cut back pointless publicity to direct daylight, put on gentle clothes and pay specific consideration to kids, older individuals and individuals who could also be extra susceptible to heat-related sickness. Households ought to use water rigorously, preserve clear environment and comply with dependable climate updates from NiMet and NEMA.
For farmers, entry to well timed local weather data will help information selections on planting, crop choice, water use and different farming practices. Communities in flood-prone areas ought to hold drainage channels clear, keep away from dumping refuse in waterways and by no means try to cross flooded roads or shifting water. Where evacuation recommendation is issued, residents ought to act promptly fairly than wait till the scenario turns into harmful.
State and native governments should additionally translate nationwide warnings into sensible interventions. This contains investing in drainage and water-management infrastructure, strengthening native emergency committees, supporting public consciousness campaigns and making certain that susceptible communities usually are not disregarded of preparedness plans. Traditional rulers, group leaders, civil society organisations and the media have equally necessary roles in making certain that security data reaches the individuals who want it.
Ultimately, no single company can stop each climate-related emergency. NEMA’s duty to coordinate catastrophe administration should be matched by the dedication of different authorities establishments and the willingness of residents to behave on credible data. The present El Niño occasion ought to subsequently be handled not merely as a climate improvement however as a chance to strengthen the nation’s preparedness tradition.
The true measure of catastrophe administration just isn’t solely how rapidly emergency groups reply after tragedy strikes, however what number of lives, properties and livelihoods are protected as a result of motion was taken early. As Nigeria navigates the months forward, the message is obvious: preparedness can’t start when catastrophe arrives. It should start earlier than the storm.
Aliyu is a journalist and syndicate author primarily based in Abuja
